Thursday, April 16, 2020

Smelson's C19 Update for 4.16.2020


Once again, I watch it so you don’t have to. Updates for 4/16/2020

Through Out the Day
  • The news is out about the testing machine for the quick tests. Apparently the Abbott Labs test machines are out there, everywhere, but here’s the catch. Remember that great HP photo printer you bought that came with miniscule demonstration ink cartridges? Then you tried to buy the color cartridges for actual use but couldn’t find them because it was just released and they were sold out everywhere? Yeah, same problem. Re-agent cartridges and swabs are in short supply. They were sent out with enough supplies to run 150 or so tests. These machines, and supplies, are going to be crucial in getting states re-opened for business. Read about it here: Abbott Tests
  • A nursing home in Baltimore, Futurecare Lochearn, has 200 beds and 129 of the residents have tested positive for Coronavirus, in addition to 41 of the staff members. Read about it here: Futurecare
  • I have spent my day, between webinars and customer calls, trying to convince a lot of intellectually challenged people that the requirement to wear a face covering when you can’t maintain 6’ of distance between themselves and other people, is not a governmental assault on their rights or some vast left-wing conspiracy. It’s been exhausting. Wear a mask. Save your granny…or someone else’s, or me frankly. Pretty simple.
Cuomo Presser
  • Hospitalizations are down. ICU admissions are down. Intubations are down.
  • The number of new diagnosis is still around 2K per day.
  • Daily death is down to 606.
  • The slow down gives NY the opportunity to reevaluate how they’re running their healthcare system and reload.
  • The what/how/when is going to be done on a business by business basis based on their importance and risk. Smart.
  • Setting up the testing that will allow all of this to proceed is the key.
  • It makes more sense to have a coordinated national effort to secure and distribute testing supplies.
  • We turn on the faucet a little bit and we watch the meter. If we see the number go up, we turn the valve back a little bit. Have to keep the number of people one person infects to less than one. We’re at .9. If we go up to 1.2 we overwhelm healthcare services.
  • NY is continuing to pause, in conjunction with their 7 neighboring states, until 5/15.
  • What determines the rate of infection? You do. Wear a mask when you’re out in public and can’t stay at least 6 feet from other people.
  • He knows there is a lot of opposition to masks. He’s aware. This is not a government conspiracy to control citizens. If you don’t think that 600 people a day dying is a conspiracy come see him. He’ll show you the bodies. It’s not about protecting you. It’s about protecting other people.
Trump Presser
  • The balance is delicate. We must have a working economy.
  • His guidelines will allow the Governors to implement a phased and deliberate approach to reopening. Link to the phases/guidelines here: Phases
  • Praises Dr. Birx and Dr. Fauci for their contributions.
  • We took the greatest economy in the history of the world and closed it.
  • Need to establish clear scientific metrics on testing.
  • Governors will be empowered to take a diverse approach based on their circumstances.
  • If they need to remain closed, we’ll allow them to do that. If they’re ready to open, we will support them.
  • Medical research is at the heart of our strategy.
  • 35 clinical trials are under way.
  • We’ve done more testing than any other country in total and on a per-capita basis.
  • 120K tests in a single day have been reported and our numbers are actually going up.
  • The drop in the utilization of commercial labs is dropping as on-the-spot testing is coming up.
  • Border control and travel restrictions are more important than ever in order to get Americans back to work.
  • Says we have the capacity for wide-spread testing in order to get through the phases. (This is not true today).

Pence

  • The guidelines for opening up America are based on science.
Birx
  • Goes over the metrics of what should be examined as areas re-open.
  • Whoever put together her PowerPoints needs some training.
  • Guidelines are fairly straightforward.
  • 14 days of decreasing illness/hospitalization.
  • Return to work in phases.
  • Minimize all non-essential travel.
  • We're going to be using metrics (when asked about tests and the lack thereof).
Fauci
  • Reminds us that it’s not going to be like a light switch.
  • It’s a very large country and there are different places with different dynamics.
  • There are going to be some places ready to open almost immediately.
  • There are multiple check points of safety.
  • Some things are not going to be the same as they were.
  • We won’t get back to normal until we have a vaccine.
  • There may be some setbacks.
Trump
  • A number of Governors are ready to open.
  • Many sporting events will start without fans.
  • Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota are mentioned as being very different.
  • Says the loan program was executed flawlessly. (I don’t share that view).
  • Declines to say which states have hit the gating requirements for Phase 1 of the reopening plan.
  • Some states have gotten too much credit for what they’ve done.
  • The testing has been so incredible.
  • 29 states are in the ball game to open relatively soon.
Once again, thank you for reading. Do not take anything written here as gospel and certainly don’t make any financial decisions based from the information provided. Stay as tuned-in as you can. Support your local businesses as much as you can. Lastly, #staythefuckhome – but if you don’t #nottooprettytomaskup

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